Abstract
Background.
Recent trials
suggest procalcitonin-based guidelines can reduce antibiotic use for
respiratory infections. However, the accuracy of procalcitonin to
discriminate between viral and bacterial pneumonia requires further
dissection.
Methods.
We evaluated the
association between serum procalcitonin concentration at hospital
admission with pathogens detected in a multicenter prospective
surveillance study of adults hospitalized with community-acquired
pneumonia. Systematic pathogen testing included cultures, serology,
urine antigen tests, and molecular detection. Accuracy of
procalcitonin to discriminate between viral and bacterial pathogens
was calculated.
Results.
Among 1735 patients,
pathogens were identified in 645 (37%), including 169 (10%) with
typical bacteria, 67 (4%) with atypical bacteria, and 409 (24%) with
viruses only. Median procalcitonin concentration was lower with viral
pathogens (0.09 ng/mL; interquartile range [IQR], less than 0.05–0.54
ng/mL) than atypical bacteria (0.20 ng/mL; IQR, less than 0.05–0.87
ng/mL; P = .05), and typical bacteria (2.5 ng/mL; IQR, 0.29–12.2
ng/mL; P less than .01). Procalcitonin discriminated bacterial
pathogens, including typical and atypical bacteria, from viral
pathogens with an area under the receiver operating characteristic
(ROC) curve of 0.73 (95% confidence interval [CI], .69–.77). A
procalcitonin threshold of 0.1 ng/mL resulted in 80.9% (95% CI,
75.3%–85.7%) sensitivity and 51.6% (95% CI, 46.6%–56.5%)
specificity for identification of any bacterial pathogen.
Procalcitonin discriminated between typical bacteria and the combined
group of viruses and atypical bacteria with an area under the ROC
curve of 0.79 (95% CI, .75–.82).
Conclusions.
No procalcitonin
threshold perfectly discriminated between viral and bacterial
pathogens, but higher procalcitonin strongly correlated with
increased probability of bacterial pathogens, particularly typical
bacteria.
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